5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 05:59:03 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 03:07:28 GMT

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 05:58:17 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 090553
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 9 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED
INLAND ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON. THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH NO DEVELOPMENT.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
NEAR THE WESTERNMOST CAPE HAS WEAKENED. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED
BECOME ABSORBED BY TROPICAL STORM IGOR LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON IGOR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON IGOR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA